Archive for November 3rd, 2008

Chrysler halts talks with Nissan, Treasury says no money for merger

Monday, November 3rd, 2008

So it would seem that Cerberus has no intention of not selling most of their stake in chrysler.  If Nissan had some to the table with more than 20% in their offer Cerberus probably would have taken more time to consider that deal.  For now we’ll have to settle for Chrysler making Nissan’s Titan and Nissan making a small car for Chrysler - if Chrysler is still around.

The US Treasury has told GM that no, it can’t have anymore billions of dollars, not yours.  GM was hoping that the bailout money would come before the election (or is it Cerberus that is on an accelerated time table?) in the amount of 10 billion.  So far the US has bailed out financial institutions (both GMAC and Chrysler Financial qualify) but has yet to aid any other sector.

The reason for the bank bailout is clear, if the banks fail then no more credit is available and no one can spend any money and we all get to see how our grandparents lived back in the 30s.  Even that bailout is not popular among many in the US, indeed, much of the money is going to bonuses to already really rich guys that ran their bank into the ground.  So when another big corporation like GM comes to the US government and asks for some money the US is reluctant to say the least.

GM is a more sympathetic recipient than banks are, but not by much.  One could argue that the bailout would save manufacturing jobs in the US at a time when outsourcing is the norm.  Even though GM would have to slash about 50,000 jobs from Chrysler immediately, in the long run it saves the biggest automaker in the world.  Better to see one absorbed than both die off.

There are two problems with giving taxpayer money to GM.  First, it is not clear that GM and Chrysler will both fail if left separate.  No one has made a convincing argument there.  And (still part of the first reason) it is not clear that the combined company will succeed.  I have yet to see a convincing argument that shows me the combined GM/Chrysler company make it through the next few years of poor sales.

The second problem with US aide here is if they give it to GM/Chrysler for a merged company they also have to give it to Ford, and eventually anyone that comes begging.  The line of companies in trouble will never end, better to draw the line at the banks and be done with it than see the government as a partial owner in every sector in the US market.